Final Mason Dixon Numbers Out

Via Jonathan Martin:

The final round of Mason-Dixon polls has Obama enjoying small leads in the red states that would deliver him the presidency, but he's below 50% in each and there are enough white undecided voters to leave some too close to call.

 Colorado: Obama 49, McCain 44, Undecided 4
Florida: Obama 47, McCain 45, Undecided 7
Nevada: Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 8
Pennsylvania: 47, McCain 43, Undecided 9
Virginia: Obama 47, McCain 44, Undecided 9
Ohio: McCain 47, Obama 45, Undecided 6
Missouri: McCain 47, Obama 46, Undecided 5
North Carolina: McCain 49, Obama 46, Undecided 5

As Brad Coker, who runs the Mason-Dixon poll, notes, the vast majority of the undecided voters in these states are whites.

If these undecided voters all break for McCain, it may be enough for him to eke out a small win.   But there is another possibility: that some of these undecided voters who can't bring themselves to support a black candidate  but are also unhappy with the GOP just stay home.

True enough - or you might see higher turn-out among anti-Obama voters as opposed to only pro, giving McCain a clean win.

Comments

[syn]

I'm wondering the percentage voters in the Dem category who are saying yes to Obama over the phone yet will say no to Obama in the voting booth. Also, anecdotal however my very apolitical 43 yr old sister is voting for the first time in her life (straight Republican and in a swingstate) for two reasons;

1) she mainly worried about taxes(over the last 8 years she became a small business owner and is scared to death of Obama's tax) and,

2) she likes that Gov Palin doesn't speak like a politician.

She's no where near the political polls radar.

In any case, the only poll which is relevent is the one taken Nov 5th. In this election there are too many unknown influences to accurately predict the outcome. Plus, we have a media which is purposefully denying the public valuable information and also an ACORN voter fraud problem.

I do find it odd however that after $600 million spent plus MSNBC and all of Hollywood campaigning for Sen Obama, he has yet to close any new sales; with all the experienced marketing tools employed he still cannot close the deal.

I don't think Obama is going to be the one who gets the knife set.

[Roy Mustang]

>>>In any case, the only poll which is relevent is the one taken Nov 5th.

That's not fair! That's the day when only Democrats get to vote for President! Republicans get stuck with Nov. 4.

[eaglewingz08]

Something is screwy about the Battleground polls. If you add up McCain and Obama, and the undecideds you get less than one hundred percent on almost all those state polls. Aren't the pollsters even concerned about math nowadays, rather than getting Obama elected?