Allah at Hot Air:
Worst-case scenario: She beats him up for another seven weeks, flames out in Pennsylvania, the superdelegates say enough’s enough and defect to him en masse, and the stake is at last well and truly driven.
Sorry for having to say it, but that makes absolutely no sense to me at all. Take a look at the latest demographics via Jay Cost.
Obama lost Ohio by 10 points. Based on PA's demographics, the messiah is walking into a blue collar buzz saw in that state, not to mention how Rendell's machine can and will deliver for Hillary, huge - including felons, if they're needed. And Hillary is going to flame out there? Not even close.
What Obama needs to worry about is staying strong in North Carolina, which doesn't vote until May 6. That's his hole card in turning back any Hillary charge, not PA. He has to be careful to not get sucked too deeply into a state he's going to lose in the end, thereby further soiling his brand.
If anything, Obama wants to play PA down, not look at it as a place where Hillary flames out.
Fast Eddy Rendell has already organized the Undertaker and Funeral Home workers unions. They are already in the cemeteries throughout PA digging up votes for Hillary!
Posted by: JustOneMan | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 05:58 PM
"What Obama needs to worry about is staying strong in North Carolina."
Well there's that 21% of the population are black thing but after eight years of Gov. Mike Easley (d) and jobs heading south who knows, maybe they want the whole country to be come a workers paradise like Ohio.......
Indies can vote in either primary. Look for Obama to mop the floor with Hilda
Posted by: WAHOO WILLIE | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 06:14 PM
I certainly won't dispute that for now, WW. Perhaps not at all. Indeed, I think NC could spell her doom. But I don't see it happening in PA. And Obama better be careful from here on out. It's crunch time and the knives are definitely out.
Posted by: Dan Riehl | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 06:44 PM
10% is nice. But it needed to be at least 16%. Her take will probably be erased by the end of March, after MS and WY.
Posted by: Jack Smith | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 06:57 PM
"Her take"
Yes, I would agree that a straight on pledged delegate count fight isn't something she'll win. But she doesn't have to. Any chance she has involves Super Delegates. And, like it, or not, she's either going to make the messiah unelectable to capture the SD's, or she is going to lose. Obviously she isn't giving up. So it's pretty clear what the objective is now - take the messiah down at all costs.
Posted by: Dan Riehl | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 07:27 PM
"I certainly won't dispute that for now, WW."
Now I'm not saying NC will be a death knell, it's only one state, it's just that you hear very little good said about the Clintons here plus there's a large black population. Then again, about half of NY & NJ now live here so it may be much different than I imagine.
Posted by: WAHOO WILLIE | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 07:34 PM
I've posted this opinion on another blog, but I'll repeat: I cannot see Steeler country voting for the effeminate, hate America, Barack Hussen Obama. I grew up in Steeler country, ain't gonna happen! My cousin, who lives in Pittsburgh, who tends to get alittle high and mighty sometimes, and insists on sending her daughter to a private school, told me last night that even the libs at her daughter's school can't stand Barack and they especially do not like Michelle Obama, with her patronizing hate-America attitude. Add in the Rendell machine, as Dan mentions, and I don't see Obama having a chance in PA.
Posted by: Sara | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 07:44 PM
what if...
... neither has enough pledged delegates...
and get so muddied (with rezko and her taxes etc) that the superdelegates want someone else.... like AL GORE?
Posted by: RELIAPUNDIT | Wednesday, March 05, 2008 at 10:07 PM
Anything is possible, especially if it goes to a brokered convention as this is apt to do. Heck, ManBearPig might even make an appearance.
Somehow, I do not think that the Supers are going to pull St. Algore of the Church of the Most Holy Glow-Bull Warming _plus_ secure enough votes in the remaining Dem primaries to upset the Hil/Obama balance.
In fact, I'd say Ron Paul has more of a chance of pulling out the convention-confirmed nomination (and for that, the Lord would need to call McCain home to Himself) than we do of seeing the Supers do a mass rejection of Hil/Obama for Algore.
For Obama, he'd do well to spend too much time and money campaigning in PA with the Rendell machine. As Dan said, time better spent barking platitudes in NC.
Posted by: seekeronos | Thursday, March 06, 2008 at 10:47 PM