Romney, McCain Neck And Neck In Michigan?

Zogby calls it neck and neck in Michigan in the last poll to be released before today. While Michigan is unpredictable due to the role of Indies and Dems, there are some possible good signs for Romney.

Zogby did have McCain up three not long ago and his sample of Republicans in the poll was the lowest of all the polls - 50%. If Zogby has stuck with that methodology and the Republican turn out gets above 60% of the vote - which it could, that bodes well for Romney. McCain does better with more Indies and Dems.

Another issue given the weather - said to be bad - Romney does better in urban and suburban areas, McCain and Huckabee in western Michigan. If turn out falls off in the rural areas, again, that could benefit Mitt.

It's still unpredictable given the likelihood of a large cross-over vote what with no content on the Dem side, but Romney might catch a break. That would put him right back into contention. He'd be the only candidate to win two states. Will the media then anoint him as the front runner, even if only for this week? Probably not. They won't get over their fixation with St. John McCain until he drops out of the race.

I still say McCain's fortunes fade as we move forward to closed primaries in more conservative states. The one caveat being how Huckabee, Thompson and Romney split the conservative vote. If the three directly above stay in the race too long, it will most likely hand the nomination to McCain by default.

Oops, one more thing. If Rudy stays in, that will draw down the moderate and Independent support for McCain. In that case, the thing remains a mess, possibly right up until the convention.

Comments

[Cory]

Go Mitt!

[docweasel]

Michigan means nothing. If Romney loses there, he'll just drop out sooner is all. However, if he wins, he's still toast. He's certainly not going to be competitive in the South. Michigan will probably be the only primary he will win, if indeed he does pull that one off.

Romney's long-shot plan was to win both Iowa and NH, and come out of the gate strong enough to compete in other states. He didn't do it. Winning Michigan will give his spin machine room to justify staying in the race, but its pure ego from here on out, and he's going to have to self-fund his vanity campaign.

All this pleases me immensely, because I detest the charletan. The race will soon come down to McCain, Guiliani and possibly Thompson, who is making a late push (maybe too late, though). Huckabee continues to say idioitic things, which will put him on people's radar screen, something he has avoided up until now. The vast majority of people have still never heard of this guy, despite all the inside baseball that political junkies are talking about him. I actually know people who are going to vote in the primary, but have never heard of Huckabee, don't even know he's running. In fact, its the majority of people I talk to, and these are people who keep up with the news. What they are starting to hear about him, they don't like. He's done as soon as people start paying real attention.

The rejection of that racist, sexist, intolerant cultist Romney in Iowa and NH gave me renewed faith in the Republican Party, I was worried for a while there. Hopefully, Michigan voters will reject him as well, and we can hear his name no more, forever. A more despicable politician I have never known in my lifetime, and I include the Clintons, AlGore and John Kerry, not to mention Nixon with his skullduggery. Romney not be the worst president ever, (in the unlikely event he got elected) but he is the worst person ever to run in such a high profile manner, and I include Al Sharpton, Jessie Jackson, Ron Paul and even David Duke. At least Duke was honest about his white supremacist roots.

[IslamoLlama]

Run Mittens Run!
You can do it!

[seekeronos]

If Mittens wins, it will be exactly because of his Mormon roots.

Mormons and Freemasons are two peas derived from the same Babylonian-inspired mystery religion.