Hillary Is Definitely Hearing Little Footsteps

Drudge is teasing new polls set for release tomorrow, putting them into perspective via Real Clear Politic's (RCP's) tracking history suggests Hillary definitely has a problem, but it's still her nomination to lose.

via Drudge's tease:

CBSNEWSNYT POLL SET FOR RELEASE ON WEDNESDAY:

IOWA: HILLARY 25%; EDWARDS 23%; OBAMA 22%

NH: HILLARY 37%; OBAMA 22%; EDWARDS 9%

While the current RCP averaged spread for Iowa is Clinton 30, Obama 23.6, there appears to be a previous outlier from ARG in those results. The new numbers are very much in line with Zogby's last from 11/06 - Hillary 28, Obama 25 - a 3 point difference, or dead heat in each poll.

Edwards falls away in NH and Hillary is in good shape - for now. But as The Daily News pointed out on Oct. 8, Iowa is seen as critical. Iowa is on January 3 -  The longer term trending in NH is somewhat in Obama's favor. If this current calendar is correct, Obama would have time to at least experience an up tick in Michigan and Nevada - where he needs it, but look to make his real mark in NH, three weeks after Iowa.

There is enough time for that but he either needs to score big in the Thursday debate, Hillary has to make another gaffe, or both. Either way, it's crunch time and Real Clear Politics is a good place to keep an eye on the polls.

Comments

[Yoda]

In the bag, Florida is, for Hillary. IA & NH, meaningless they are.