All Over The Place

Things are all over the place today ... a calm before some storm? Was targeting Zawahiri an attempt at an October Surprise? More importantly, did they get him, needing a few days to confirm? NBC has video of the site.

Given that NBC was on scene so soon after wards, I'm thinking they didn't get him. Also wonder if someone suggested NBC be in the area in case they did. That sure is a coincidence, having an NBC reporter there for a signing of some sort.

The Senate looks like it's going to be split, though the R's could pick up four of the toss ups there easier than the Dems. Allen came in back five in a Rassmussen Poll today. While that isn't comforting, the polls have been all over the place. Rassmussen had Allen up by 2 just four days ago.

All over the place, like I said.

Comments

[The Apologist]

Dan, in light of the John Fund piece in Opinion Journal I'm curious what exit polls are going to tell us on election night. If 25-50% of ballots are mailed in what does that do to exit polls? Who votes early Repub or Demo? Incumbent support or challenger support? Will we be able to trust those exit polls at all? Waddaya think? And do you know think people who have already voted are responding to pollsters?

[Dan Riehl]

I know that Republicans have placed a significant effort in getting people to vote absentee, I imagine D's have too, to some extent. You can canvas someone and secure their vote on the spot in a sense. As to how that would change the exit polls - you would be able to do more poorly in exit polling, as some of your voters don't go to the polls.

Reports I've read suggest pollsters are having a difficult time even getting people to respond anymore. And in some Dem efforts people have gotten ticked off due to multiple polling calls from various related organizations doing their own polling.

Bottom-line, we really can't trust much of the nonsense either way. Politicians are using polls as a campaigning tactic more and more every year.

[jaime]

"Allen came in back five in a Rassmussen Poll today. While that isn't comforting, the polls have been all over the place. Rassmussen had Allen up by 2 just four days ago."

A backlash over Allen's taking Webb's quotes out of context to insinuate he was a pedophile perhaps. It's tough to call him a child touching woman hater when his writing is required USMC reading.