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Thursday, May 04, 2006

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""We will reduce our operations against [the Americans] in our areas for the near future, and will perform our work against them in Baghdad itself," the document says."

Hardened targets are costly to attack in terms of men and materiel. Is it easier to blow up a humvee or a street-side cafe? Do unarmed Iraqi women and children return fire more or less often than armed American Marines?

The al Qaida franchise in Iraq is on the defensive. As is every other splinter group, feeder group and ideologically-alligned group of terrorists.

The bulk of the insurgency are pissed-off Sunnis, not this goofball, and not foreign fighters. No point in trying to attack US Forces in Baghdad as the USA doesn't controll Baghdad. At this point, Baghdad is part chaos and partially controlled by sectarian militias. What is interesting is that I heard through the grapevine some time ago that there is a planned 2nd assault on Baghdad scheduled for this summer to crush these sectarian militias and restore some semblance of control to the city.

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