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Monday, August 15, 2005

New Analysis Suggests Gang Rape And Drugging Involved In Holloway Disappearance

Dr. Andrew Hodges, a forensic psychiatrist, has begun to analyze some of what documented facts and statements are available in the disappearance of Natalee Holloway - that analysis suggests that both Deepak Kalpoe and Joran Van der Sloot may have been involved in a planned scheme which included the drugging and gang raping of missing Alabama teenager Natalee Holloway. He is currently preparing a full report for the family of Natalee Holloway.

Thoughtprint decoding is reading between the lines for unconscious messages, called "thoughtprints,".

A recent breakthrough to the unconscious mind reveals it is strikingly honest and far brighter than the conscious mind and that criminals are strongly inclined toward unconscious confession.

To decode thoughtprints one must be attuned to a suspect's unconsciously patterned ideas and not his literal conscious statements. The conscious mind speaks literally ("left brain") about certain issues, the unconscious mind speaks symbolically ("right brain") about deeper issues facts via thoughtprints.

Thoughtprints: Joran indirectly warned the girls from Mountain Brook High School including Natalee Holloway around 9 pm at the Holiday Inn Casino-- "Don't go to Carlos and Charlies, it's no fun on Sunday night." This suggests an unconscious protective warning, knowing that he was up to something (a group rape as he suggests).

Natalee Drugged: Joran spontaneously reported that Natalee was on drugs at C and C suggesting she indeed was drugged there. Deepak's thoughtprints also suggest Natalee had been drugged - reporting that he had lied to police because missing girls "usually show up at a crack house (sic)."

Both suspects independently introduced drugs's suggesting they drugged her in addition to the alcohol she had consumed. There are rumors of bartenders cooperating in such a scenario.

Natalee Resisted a Group Rape: Joran and Deepak both referenced the idea of sex being refused ("Joran said he refused Natalee sex in the back seat at one point, Deepak prohibited Joran and Natalee from sexual contact telling them to go get a hotel room) and of Natalee refusing to be touched while on the ground when she fell.

All of this strongly suggests sexual activity and touch being refused and that she put up a fight while held down and that there was both verbal and physical resistance.

A particularly striking story of Natalee falling-- physically out of control on the ground and intoxicated linked with the moment of separation (death)-- suggests loss of control through drugs, rape and finally through death.

Additional analysis, some anticipated to be discussed this week on Court TV with more going directly to the family, is pending. In speaking with Dr. Hodges, it was at least suggested at this point that, based upon other reports, along with the drugging, such a crime may have included luring Natalee Holloway away from the front of Carlos and Charlie's on foot.

Dr. Hodges "Thought Print" work was involved to some extent in profiling the BTK serial killer. His credentials include being certified by the American Board of Psychiatry and Neurology. He is a former Assistant Clinical Professor of Psychiatry at the University of Alabama at Birmingham School of Medicine and received the Outstanding Clinician’s Award in 1995 from the International Society of Communicative Psychoanalysis & Psychotherapy. He is also a member of the American Psychiatric Association.

Developing ...

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Comments

Whoa....this was the most intense post about Natalee's case in a long while. thanks for the good work Dan.

Gives me the chills, really.

S2S

i found this extremely interesting, although i guess its more of a scientific way of finding/describing the "threads of truth" that exist within a lie.

it seems like the truth

sadly

Hmm, it's odd that Dr. Hodges highlight the BTK case? Many people worked on the BTK case and provided exactly no useful help. BTK was located by following up hard evidence and BTK confessed to his crimes. What could Dr. Hodges' "thoughtprint decoding" have possibly provided that was useful in the BTK case?

Interesting. I'd like to think it's not true, because it's a horrible ending for Natalee. But with this psychiatrist's credentials, maybe there is something to it. I hope he can read the suspects' thoughtprints to get hints on where she is now.

Didn't JVDS and the Kalpoes tell police when they were first questioned that they took her to the lighthouse and had consensual sex? I'm sorry, but a young girl of her background is highly, highly unlikely to want that scenario. Always struck me as really hard to believe their story.

The suspects saying they had "consensual sex" is weird (just like MB kids saying they "drank responsibly"). No one talks this way. The phrase "consensual sex" would not be used by boys who had nothing to hide.
Sorry for 3 posts in a row. No responses--maybe everyone is sleeping! Which I should be, too!

This guys conclusion are no better yours or my own speculations.

Besides he's an American with study in an area of psychiatry that is still considered experimental.Dutch neuro-linguistic experts have already been called in with zero success. Dutch secret service has been called in with zero success. And this guys says he can read minds.

I am not putting any credence in this guy especially considering the majority of his work is post de facto analysis. Besides where did this guy get his information? The Arubans have not released anything. And the FBI has not either. They can't release the information, it would violate the rights of the accused. He would walk if they did. And they don't want him to walk on this. The notion that this psychiatrist could make his analysis from second or third hand news reports is absurd.

This does not surprise me at all. My husband is a retired police officer and he says this all the time, that when people make statements or try to state an alibi of some sorts, a partial truth will come out in those statements, along with their version to protect themselves. He said this very early on in the investigation about the statements "they" made.

This whole mess is so sad.

Profiling works on a level that the lay person would find difficult to understand.

Thanks for the information Dan.

I watched the entire court proceedings for BTK and the back story. The profilers were pretty much spot on. I realize this isn't a profiler report per se but it does speak to other scientific means available for answers with what evidence is in front of us.

Sounds like 21st century voodo Phrenology.

Just popping in here before I go to work. I have always believed there is some truth to what they said in the first place. Still it is very disturbing to think of what may have happened to her.
Thanks Dan

This is crazy. I cannot believe that this guy would send a report to this family like that. He has no proof that it even happened and Im sorry that Natalee's family has to be subjected to stories like that. Im sure that it is not what they want to hear.

He’s what intelligent people call a quack.

"He’s what intelligent people call a quack.
Posted by: Eecom | August 15, 2005 07:19 AM"

No Kidding?? :) I sure hope he didn't charge them for this. Gee was he having a duh moment?

As a psychologist, I'm well informed on the latest empirically-valid methods of anything related to the field...I can safely say that "ThoughtPrints" aren't supported by the research...Like the Roarsarch, highly subjective and usually it's the interpeter's projection that influences results

The language of dreams is also confounding to the conscious mind, but very reliable and truthful. While the ordinary waking mind can be manipulated by the person and others, the unconscious mind speaking through symbols in dreams, properly interpreted, provides a clearer picture of truth. Reverse speech is another way to access the unconscious mind.

RE:
it does speak to other scientific means available for answers with what evidence is in front of us.

Posted by: FloridaPatty | August 15, 2005 06:12 AM

Good thinking processes, Patty.

RE:
Reverse speech is another way to access the unconscious mind.

Posted by: Jean | August 15, 2005 07:46 AM

What is reverse speech?

RE;BTK was located by following up hard evidence and BTK confessed to his crimes. What could Dr. Hodges' "thoughtprint decoding" have possibly provided that was useful in the BTK case?

Posted by: ManWith2Dogs | August 15, 2005 04:33 AM

Hard evidence is the key word! Good reporting. Thanks for being up on the news. You are giving me support when I have been starting to lean the other way.

coffee anyone? I will pour.

Of course someone with some actual credentials posts something that MORE THAN LIKELY happened and the Joran, Kalpoe supporters/Beth and Natalee bashers claim he's a quack.

Mary - my father is a retired homicide detective and he said the same exact thing you posted above. Isn't it amazing how the majority of people who actually have some experience in what is going on in Aruba basically same the same thing, explain the same exact scenario as to probably what most likely happened? Mark Furhman said the same exact thing about a week or so ago. Then you have these people who claim there is some sordid underworld in Aruba that involves politicians, police personnel, etc, that Natalee was kidnapped by these people for political reasons and sold into slavery and somehow Joran and the Kalpoe brothers are not involved? Come on....People need to wake up and smell the coffee grinds.

This guy hit it right on. I've been on here saying this is exactly what happened from the get go. It's nothing more sinister that a rape or a sexually advance that was unwarranted by Natalee that eventually resulted in her death.

Joran and Kalpoe apologists DO NOT want to believe this is what happened because deep down in their hearts THEY KNOW this what more than likely happened.

If I put odds on the different possible scenarios that happened this would be the "chalk", the favorite, at odds of 2-1 or less.

RE:If I put odds on the different possible scenarios that happened this would be the "chalk", the favorite, at odds of 2-1 or less.


Posted by: Kap | August 15, 2005 08:03 AM

At the Kentucky Derby, the big winners bet on the long shot.
I think Natalee was the agressor, not Joran. I am to explain? Been there, done that, (or had it done to me.) Women have as much need for a little spice as men do.

george t - you need help and i feel sorry for the barrage you may get from women who post on here about that last comment. i'm real sure Natalee was the agressor when all substantial witnesses state Natalee was "not that type of girl." I'm sure Natalee would be the agressor in front of two complete strangers.

Remember, she never talked to either of the Kalpoe bros (according to Kalpoe's momma), goes right in line with the thinking she thought she was in the cab. If Natalee was the agressor why would these three morons lie? you lame theory makes no sense and just because it's been done to you doesn't mean all women do that...you need to get a grip.

as for you derby comment, I had Giacomo at 50-1, $25 win ticket. btw, I wasn't talking about horse racing...three boys raping and murdering a girl is not akin to horse racing.

Everyone keep any sharp instruments you have away from "George T", I fear he may be going off the deep end....

George T,

So let me get this strait, NATALEE was the aggressor?
She coerced these three young men to take her to a beach and have their way with her?
THAT is your logic?

My friend, you desperately need some psychiatric evaluation!!

Why is it that people feel compelled to post in threads simply to make outlandish and bizarre statements?

Wow, what a fascinating science. It's way ahead of that old method of forensic science: reading the bumps on people's heads to determine if they have criminal tendencies.

OVALTINE!!! That's what the Little Orphan Annie decoder revealed. How about a seance? Smart people don't buy this thoughtprint decoding. I wonder what Dave Holloway and Linda Allison think about this? They're the only smart ones. Dr. Hodges sent the information to the Twitty's knowing they are, or at least she appears to be, I don't know about the stepfather, desperate for any new ideas, since Sept. 4th is only 20 days away. No charge, I hope. Cosmos, Carl Sagan? To Mary's post. Your retired husband probably knows more about this stuff having had to deal directly with it. You kind of get that sixth intuitive dimension after a while. I think Mark Fuhrman is still a racist. Maybe we all are to some degree. Remember Schultz on "Hogan's Heroes"? He knew nothing and maybe we know a little more. Ain't watching politics fun? Run from the truth, never answer a question, make sure you get re-elected, discuss issues people don't care about, line you and your friends pockets and it doesn't matter. It's the same in every country. The only smart one here is Joran and Dutch company, as they managed to isolate and protect him from self destruction. If anyone takes the hit in this case, Deepak Kalpoe will be the one. I look forward to seeing Jossy Mansur and his sources new revelations every night. He is the best and most entertaining character on all of the news. Smart guy!

If you bothered to read the text of Dan's article then you would know it's more than reading bumps. Like I've said, I lived most of my life around a homicide detective who worked in DC and surrounding PG county for over 30 years and you can definitely find truths in statements that are lies from suspects. Mark Furhman said the same exact thing weeks ago when he said that when Joran and the Kalpoes first lied about the HI story they talked about Natalee hitting her head. They were setting up a head injury in case they found the body. There are other statements which you can find some truth in that backs Beth's STRONG theory that Natalee thought she was getting into a cab when Kalpoe's "momma" stated Natalee didn't speak a word to them. Now if she were the agressor or left on her own free will under the assumption she knew the Kalpoes and Joran, why would she NOT talk to them and just Joran?

Anyhow....

Thought print decoding is the worst kind of voodoo science.

My very first thought when she was missing was like this: She is bound, and they keep doing it to her again again. The place that I saw looked like the abanded hotel. Is there another hotel there that is being built? My first thought though was she is alive. But that was in June.

There is also a technique called "facial profiling" that was developed in CA. I don't put much stock in that either. Why don't they try reverse speech next?

That said, there is truth people can make "Freudian" slips and "telegraph" facts within other conversation or statements - but you'll never get it into court. The best these techiques can provide, is another investigative tool.

Didnt The Chambers guy that killed the girl in the park say that she was rough with him sexually? Give me a break! Joran and his gangbanger friends did the crime and should do the time. No way was Natalee interested in these guys. She was drugged and unable to get away from these punks! She was stalked by Joran. Easy prey for premeditated perverts. Carlos and Charlies need to clean house of riffraff that hang out in their place and stalk women.

Good morning, everyone!

I have to say that "thoughtprinting" really sounds like a highly technical term for "guessing".

Lack of evidence is really making all sorts of "fact-finding" methods to come out of the woodwork. Where are the psychics???

My husband is also retired law enforcement and DITTO to what others have said. He said in the beginning that from what he was seeing and hearing that those boys had given her a date rape drug and that in the resulting gang rape Natalie died.
He also said that with the level of arrongance of these boys that they will never confess to the whole truth. He also thinks that the boys tried to bury the body and that when the father found out what had happened the body was then taken out to sea and disposed of and that the people who have any info on this have been kept away from Aruba.

The most logical explanation is usually the simplest one.

Interesting perspective.

Thanks for posting, Dan.

These cases always take on wild speculation eg. mob, drug lords,etc. I think it is something more much more simple. JVDS and DK were looking to get laid. A date rape drug was probably used. JVDS went first. She freaked or something and DK missed his turn. Werever she was left, and without JVDS there, DK returned in a jealous rage and forcibly raped her and she died in the process, or he killed her as well. She was temporarily buried. Then PVDS got invoved. Now there is no body. All the boys are lying because I believe they can be charged with their varying degrees of invovement in the crime. This case may be tough to crack since the Police Chief and PVDS cleaned up most of the incriminating evidence. Finally, these three weasels are not cracking. They must know that there is no case against them, and to let the clock tick down. One more thought. This is probably one of many of their trolling and pickups at bars of drunken students. They wait for the last night that these girls are on the island knowing that come morning they will hide the rape. They have a plane to catch. Never to be seen again.

Good Morning . . .

This theory seems to be coming out of alot of areas at the same time !!!
--------------------------

Can't help re-posting this for those that were'nt here last night :

http://newsblaze.com/story/2005070108300200001.ew/topstory.html

Anyone of us, without credentials, could come up with a similar story, based on the circumstances. This is voodoo. No wonder Tom Cruise is so indignant over psychiatrists. This one sounds like he needs to get his own head examined. That "science" sounds totally bogus, like something made up. He's just another crank trying to cash in on this tragedy.

Dan:

Thanks for the hard work and info.

My heart breaks for Natalee.

I am still hoping for some type of justice.

Might be true, but sounds like grasping for straws due to no evidence.
What was stated is no different than information on these blogs. I guess we could make his salary,(the Forensic Dr.) I believe in the unconsious, etc.... but he did not come up with anything the rest of
us did not already speculate. I would have a hard time as a Judge to
rule against a defendant based on that information.

More info on thought printing. Reach your own conclusions. The psychiatrist has good credentials.

www.brainwavescience.com/criminal-justice.php

This technique might make more sense to those with a background in the neurosciences.

Actual studies have been done to determine whether police officers and judges can actually tell if people are telling the truth better than "ordinary" people. The studies determined that police and judges are not any better than anyone else and that nobody is very good at it. It sounds a lot like magical thinking dressed up as science. The testimonials are interesting, since they sound a lot like the testimonials I have read from psychics who "find" missing people. I hope people who find this "science" credible aren't offended by my sincere doubts about it. It sounds bogus to me. It does not sound like science.

Good Morning . . .

This theory seems to be coming out of alot of areas at the same time !!!
--------------------------

Can't help re-posting this for those that were'nt here last night :

http://newsblaze.com/story/2005070108300200001.ew/topstory.html

Posted by: \\\\CroSSBronXXPress//// | August 15, 2005 09:38 AM

Once again; Old story

Stold by a criminal Matthew and his PR (wife) campaign against the Judicial system that locked him up for his cirmes and extended his stay after he beat officials and sent one to the ICU.

Use facts not Criminal's theory/stories.

Dan - was Hodges given the boys statements as a part of the investigation or is he freelancing with this?

Dr. Lawrence A. Farwell

Publications

Farwell, L. A., Chambers, R. D., Miller, G. A., Coles, M. G. H., and Donchin, E. (1985). A Specific Memory Deficit in Elderly Subjects Who Lack A P300. Psychophysiology, 23, 589 (Abstract.)

Donchin, E., Miller, G. A., and Farwell, L. A. (1986) The Endogenous Components of the Event-Related Potential - A Diagnostic Tool? In Advances in Brain Research, 1986. Amsterdam: Elsevier . See also Progress in Brain Research, Vol. 70, 1986.

Farwell, L. A. and Donchin, E. (1986) The "Brain Detector:" P300 in the Detection of Deception. Psychophysiology, 24: 434 (Abstract).

Farwell, L. A., Donchin, E., and Kramer, A. F.(1986) Talking Heads: A Mental Prosthesis for Communicating with Event-Related Brain Potentials of the EEG. Psychophysiology, 24: 434 (Abstract).

Bashore, T.R., Miller, G. A., Farwell, L. A., and Donchin, E. (1987). Research in Geriatric Psychophysiology. In Annual Review of Gerontology and Geriatrics. New York: Springer.

Farwell, L. A. and Donchin, E. (1988) Talking Off The Top Of Your Head: A Mental Prosthesis Utilizing Event-Related Brain Potentials. Electroencephalography and Clinical Neurophysiology, 70: 510-513.

Farwell, L. A. and Donchin, E. (1988) The Truth Will Out: Interrogative Polygraphy with Event-Related Brain Potentials. Psychophysiology, 25:445 (Abstract).

Farwell, L. A. and Donchin, E. (1989) Detection of Guilty Knowledge with ERPs. Psychophysiology, 26:58. (Abstract of an address presented at the Twenty-Eighth Annual Meeting of the Society for Psychophysiological Research, October, 1989.)

Farwell, L. A. and Donchin, E. (1991) The Truth Will Out: Interrogative Polygraphy ("Lie Detection") With Event-Related Brain Potentials. Psychophysiology, 28:531-547.

Farwell, L. A. (1992) The Brain-wave Information Detection (BID) System: A New Paradigm for Psychophysiological Detection of Information. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1992.

Farwell, L. A. (1992) The Farwell System for Event-Related Brain Potential Information Detection: A New Paradigm in Psychophysiological Detection of Concealed Information. Technical Report prepared for the Office of Research and Development of the Central Intelligence Agency, 1992.

Farwell, L. A. (1992) Two New Twists on the Truth Detector: Brain-wave Detection of Occupational Information. Psychophysiology, 29,4A:S3 (Abstract of an address presented at the Thirty-Second Annual Meeting at the Society for Psychophysiological Research, October 1992.

Farwell, L. A., Martinerie, J. M., Bashore, T. R., and Rapp, P. E. (1993) Optimal Digital Filters for Long Latency Event-Related Brain Potentials. Psychophysiology, 30, 3, 306-315.

Rapp, P. E., Albano, A.M., Schmah, T.I., and Farwell, L. A. (1993) Filtered Noise Can Mimic Low Dimensional Chaotic Attractors. Physical Review E, 47,4, 2289-2297.

Farwell, L. A. and Richardson, D. A. (1993) Detection of FBI Agents with the Farwell MERA System: A New Paradigm for Psychophysiological Detection of Concealed Information. Technical Report, Human Brain Research Laboratory, Inc.

Farwell, L. A. (1993) Brain MERMERs: Detection of FBI Agents and Crime-Relevant Information with the Farwell MERA System. Proceedings of the International Security Systems Symposium, Washington, D.C.

Farwell, L. A. and Farwell, G.W. (1995) Quantum-Mechanical Processes and Consciousness. Bulletin of the American Physical Society, 40, 2, 956-57.

Farwell, L. A. and Smith, S. S. (2001). Using Brain MERMER Testing to Detect Concealed Knowledge Despite Efforts to Conceal Journal of Forensic Sciences 46,1:1-9

My biggest hang-up in regard to pseudo-sciences like this one, is that it requires subjective reading. Call me a crazy person, but I really prefer to be spoon-fed my evidence in cases like this.

Research and Summary Information

PUBLICATIONS

Brain Fingerprinting Testing Detects Information

Brain Fingerprinting testing detects information stored in the human brain. A specific, electrical brain wave response, known as a P300, is emitted by the brain within a fraction of a second when an individual recognizes and processes an incoming stimulus that is significant or noteworthy. When an irrelevant stimulus is seen, it is seen as being insignificant and not noteworthy and a P300 is not emitted. The P300 electrical brain wave response is widely known and accepted in the scientific community. There have been hundreds of studies conducted and articles published on it over the past thirty years. In his research on the P300 response, Dr. Farwell discovered that the P300 was one aspect of a larger brain-wave response that he named a MERMER® (memory and encoding related multifaceted electroencephalographic response). The MERMER comprises a P300 response, occurring 300 to 800 ms after the stimulus, and additional patterns occurring more than 800 ms after the stimulus, providing even more accurate results.

Scientific Procedure

Brain Fingerprinting testing incorporates the following procedure. A sequence of words, pictures or sounds is presented under computer control for a fraction of a second each. Three types of stimuli are presented: "targets," "irrelevants," and "probes." The targets consist of information known to the suspect, which will establish a baseline brain response (MERMER) for information known to be significant to this subject in context. The subject is given a list of the target stimuli and instructed to press a particular button in response to targets and another button in response to all other stimuli. Most of the non-target stimuli are irrelevant, having no relation to the situation being tested. These irrelevants do not elicit a MERMER, and therefore establish a baseline brain response for information that is not significant to this suspect in this context. Some of the non-target stimuli are relevant to the situation being tested. These relevant stimuli are referred to as probes; information relevant to the test. For a subject with specific knowledge of material being tested, the probes are noteworthy due to that knowledge, and therefore the probes elicit a MERMER, indicating "information present" — information stored in the brain. For a subject lacking this knowledge, probes are indistinguishable from the irrelevants, and thus probes do not elicit a MERMER, indicating "information absent" — information not stored in the brain.

Computer Controlled

The entire Brain Fingerprinting system is under computer control, including presentation of the stimuli, recording of electrical brain activity, a mathematical data analysis algorithm that compares the responses to the three types of stimuli and produces a determination of "information present" or "information absent," and a statistical confidence level for this determination. At no time during the analysis do biases and interpretations by the person giving the test affect the presentation or the results of the stimulus presentation.

Scientific Experiments, Field Tests, and Criminal Cases

When the information tested is crime-relevant and known only to the perpetrator and investigators, then "information present" implies participation in the crime and "information absent" implies non-participation. Similarly, when the information tested is information known only to members of a particular organization or group (e.g., an intelligence agency or a terrorist group), then "information present" indicates an informed affiliation with the group in question.

Scientific studies, field tests and actual criminal cases involving over 175 individuals described in various scientific publications and technical reports by Dr. Lawrence A. Farwell have verified the extremely high level of accuracy, utility, cost-effectiveness, and overall credibility of the Brain Fingerprinting system. The system has been extremely accurate in all studies, field tests, and actual cases conducted at the Federal Bureau of Investigation, a US intelligence agency, the police departments and with other organizations and individuals.

WOW, I normally don't believe in this kind of stuff, but this one really seems to be more scienfically based.

Anyone of us, without credentials, could come up with a similar story, based on the circumstances. This is voodoo. No wonder Tom Cruise is so indignant over psychiatrists. This one sounds like he needs to get his own head examined. That "science" sounds totally bogus, like something made up. He's just another crank trying to cash in on this tragedy.

Posted by: Ashleigh | August 15, 2005 09:52 AM

How old are you? Have you even checked this guy out? Have you ever done any neuro studies yourself? Might I suggest a little research before discounting any information in this case.

Thanks, Noplans...I feel better knowing this is a computer-controlled method. It gives it more credence, in my opinion, since it's not all subjective.

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